Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 13.301954 15.195093 17.224457 19.557259 22.160241 24.970719 28.230125
2024-10-20 9.985088 12.414336 15.208448 18.643249 22.734098 27.431676 33.214351
2024-10-27 7.599537 10.235867 13.474455 17.708200 23.055120 29.538333 37.943457
2024-11-03 6.473301 9.374740 13.155545 18.373253 25.306096 34.111203 46.034488
2024-11-10 5.906292 9.130687 13.559111 19.968200 28.866367 40.623575 57.139609
2024-11-17 5.220348 8.598689 13.479282 20.868780 31.558726 46.209836 67.494268
2024-11-24 4.419687 7.758462 12.830720 20.857968 32.942265 50.094956 75.820058
2024-12-01 3.648372 6.827604 11.905409 20.298416 33.430803 52.708231 82.508400
2024-12-08 3.116462 6.193671 11.343018 20.201227 34.556416 56.275323 90.767920
2024-12-15 2.745798 5.771927 11.058781 20.491730 36.270947 60.799378 100.699418
2024-12-22 2.362894 5.259629 10.545827 20.328296 37.214065 64.169099 109.052983
2024-12-29 2.205981 5.152098 10.727069 21.359048 40.187733 70.898089 123.006060
2025-01-05 1.935588 4.781516 10.397991 21.485036 41.700008 75.481524 134.021982
2025-01-12 1.613180 4.240323 9.669349 20.794590 41.723393 77.613196 141.209472
2025-01-19 1.329346 3.725379 8.915190 19.959155 41.394203 79.105130 147.410729
2025-01-26 1.236644 3.638818 9.029848 20.829875 44.268033 86.286010 163.622747
2025-02-02 1.230930 3.765231 9.614326 22.702668 49.171607 97.318538 187.037064
2025-02-09 1.161475 3.715836 9.804044 23.774747 52.610038 105.929296 206.673742
2025-02-16 1.028656 3.471072 9.517402 23.806020 54.002997 110.906702 220.148805
2025-02-23 0.876047 3.136406 8.970417 23.206231 54.070411 113.425470 229.328324
2025-03-02 0.771914 2.917675 8.669656 23.115570 55.157419 117.897248 242.261257
2025-03-09 0.701610 2.785410 8.564320 23.454606 57.153762 124.190856 258.827581
2025-03-16 0.616752 2.585962 8.255490 23.278960 58.030823 128.352974 271.593419